Learn
Everything we know about MACD, ADX, and our signal methodology — published openly. Including the parts that don't make us look good.
MACD Basics
Understanding the core indicator behind our signals
“01
The speedometer for crypto momentum — what it measures and why traders watch it.
MACD Basics · beginner
What Is MACD?
The speedometer for crypto momentum — what it measures and why traders watch it.
4 min readRead article →
ADX Explained
The confidence filter that separates real moves from noise
“01
ADX measures trend strength — not direction.
ADX Explained · beginner
What Is ADX?
ADX measures trend strength — not direction. Think of it as a confidence meter.
4 min readRead article →
Our Strategy
How we combine MACD and ADX — and where it falls short
“01
MACD for direction, ADX for confidence, daily candles only.
Our Strategy · intermediate
How Our Strategy Works
MACD for direction, ADX for confidence, daily candles only. The full picture.
6 min readRead article →
Market Narratives
The big stories shaping crypto markets — and how they connect to the assets we track
“01
Tokenizing real-world assets went from buzzword to BlackRock product.
Market Narratives · beginner
What Is RWA Tokenization?
Tokenizing real-world assets went from buzzword to BlackRock product. Here's what it means for crypto investors.
6 min readRead article →
02
Bitcoin as a Treasury Asset
Companies are putting BTC on their balance sheets — not as speculation, but as reserve strategy. What changed.
6 min readbeginner→
03
AI and Crypto: What Decentralized AI Means
AI needs data, compute, and verification. Crypto offers all three. Here's the real overlap — and the hype to ignore.
6 min readbeginner→
Coins
Deep dives into each asset we track — what the project does and what our signals show
BitcoinBTCUSD
Coin Guide
What Is Bitcoin?
The original cryptocurrency — what it does, why it matters, and what drives its price.
5 min readbeginner
Signal Profile
Bitcoin: What Our Signals Do
Our signals don't beat buy-and-hold for BTC. They detect bearish shifts early — Q2 2022 produced +35% alpha when BTC dropped 58%.
6 min readintermediate
EthereumETHUSD
Coin Guide
What Is Ethereum?
The programmable blockchain — what it does differently from Bitcoin, why it's more volatile, and what drives its price.
5 min readbeginner
Signal Profile
Ethereum: What Our Signals Do
ETH needs ADX>25 — the highest confirmation bar of any major asset. Mean alpha is -0.54%, but Q2 2022 delivered +29% when ETH dropped 69%.
6 min readintermediate
SolanaSOLUSD
Coin Guide
What Is Solana?
The speed-first blockchain — built for throughput, driven by hype cycles, and the most volatile asset we track.
5 min readbeginner
Signal Profile
Solana: What Our Signals Do
SOL's bull runs are too fast to catch — but our 4h bearish signal spots 89% of crashes five days early.
5 min readintermediate
CardanoADAUSD
Coin Guide
What Is Cardano?
The research-first blockchain — methodical, academic, and the only asset where every signal strategy we tested came out positive.
5 min readbeginner
Signal Profile
Cardano: What Our Signals Do
Five years, every strategy positive. +11.27% mean quarterly alpha, 65% beat-hold rate, and a Sharpe of 0.74 — the best numbers in the system.
6 min readintermediate
ChainlinkLINKUSD
Coin Guide
What Is Chainlink?
The oracle network that connects blockchains to real-world data — and a case study in break-even alpha with half the exposure.
5 min readbeginner
Signal Profile
Chainlink: What Our Signals Do
Break-even alpha (+0.70%), 55% beat-hold rate, half your time in cash. LINK's signal value isn't outperformance — it's discipline with roughly the same return.
6 min readintermediate
XRPXRPUSD
Coin Guide
What Is XRP?
The payments network that spent years in a legal battle — and emerged as our second-best performer by mean alpha.
5 min readbeginner
Signal Profile
XRP: What Our Signals Do
Second-highest mean alpha of any asset we track — but driven by a handful of exceptional quarters. The honest breakdown.
5 min readintermediate
TRONTRXUSD
Coin Guide
What Is TRON?
The stablecoin highway — TRX gained +566% in five years by quietly becoming DeFi's settlement layer.
5 min readbeginner
Signal Profile
TRON: What Our Signals Do
TRX gained +566% in five years. Our signals capture a fraction of that — but when they fire, the 3.79 profit factor is the highest in the system.
5 min readintermediate
DogecoinDOGEUSD
Coin Guide
What Is Dogecoin?
The meme that became a market — DOGE's price is driven by social media cycles that break every technical indicator, including ours.
5 min readbeginner
Signal Profile
Dogecoin: What Our Signals Do
We excluded DOGE once. Five years of dedicated ADX testing changed our mind — but the meme-driven caveats are real.
5 min readintermediate
CosmosATOMUSD
Coin Guide
What Is Cosmos?
The internet of blockchains — ATOM lost 90% in five years, but our signals lost only 19%. Understanding why starts here.
5 min readbeginner
Signal Profile
Cosmos: What Our Signals Do
ATOM lost -90% in five years. Our signals lost -19%. That's not a win — it's structured loss avoidance, and we're honest about the difference.
5 min readintermediate
HyperliquidHYPEUSD
Coin Guide
What Is Hyperliquid?
The on-chain perpetuals exchange — seven months of data and a working hypothesis, not a proven strategy.
5 min readbeginner
Signal Profile
Hyperliquid: What Our Signals Do
Four trades, seven months, and a profit factor of 5.57. Promising — but we're transparent about the thin data.
5 min readintermediate
AvalancheAVAXUSD
Coin Guide
What Is Avalanche?
A battered L1 with real technology, a brutal multi-year drawdown, and violent rallies that don't sustain. Why the price history matters.
5 min readbeginner
Signal Profile
Avalanche: What Our Signals Do
Nineteen out of nineteen quarters beat buy-and-hold — the highest rate in our system. What that actually means for a −89% asset.
6 min readintermediate
Ondo FinanceONDOUSD
Coin Guide
What Is Ondo Finance?
Tokenized real-world assets — the only coin in our system where adding an ADX filter makes things worse, not better.
5 min readbeginner
Signal Profile
Ondo Finance: What Our Signals Do
The only asset in our system with no ADX filter. Twenty-three months of data shows plain MACD works better — here's why.
5 min readintermediate