Tuesday, October 6, 2026 
Bitcoin MACD
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Bitcoin MACD provides technical indicator signals, not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. MACD signals do not beat buy-and-hold for BTC on average. Always do your own research before making investment decisions. Bitcoin MACD is not liable for any financial losses resulting from the use of this service, nor for any failure or delay in delivering alerts or notifications.

Data: Polygon.io · support@bitcoinmacd.com · © 2026 Bitcoin MACD

Bearish Signal Detection

Bitcoin MACD Signals

BTCUSD

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Our signals don't beat buy-and-hold for Bitcoin on average. What they do: detect bearish momentum shifts early. Q2 2022 produced +35% alpha when BTC dropped 58%. That's the value — a systematic exit plan, not a trading edge.

5-Year Backtest Results

Mean quarterly alpha-1.89%
Beats buy-and-hold50%
Sharpe-like ratio-0.18
Worst quarter-38.86% (Q4 2024)
ADX thresholdADX > 20
StrategyLong-only MACD(12,26,9) + ADX(14)
TimeframeDaily (1D)
Study periodQ2 2021 — Q1 2026 (20 quarters)

Learn More

Bitcoin: What Our Signals Do →
What Is Bitcoin? →
Bitcoin as a Treasury Asset →
Q2 2022: When the Signal Mattered Most →
Honest About Our Performance →

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Other Assets

Ethereum

ETH/USD

Cardano

ADA/USD

Chainlink

LINK/USD

Solana

SOL/USD