Outperformance Signals

Cardano

ADAUSD

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Five years of backtesting shows +11.27% mean quarterly alpha. Beats hold in 65% of quarters. Every single strategy we tested came out positive on average — though individual quarters vary. ADA's volatility tends to be trend-driven, which is what MACD is designed to detect.

5-Year Backtest Results

Mean quarterly alpha+11.27%

Beats buy-and-hold65%

Sharpe-like ratio0.74

Worst quarter-37.25% (Q1 2025)

ADX thresholdADX > 20

StrategyLong-only MACD(12,26,9) + ADX(14)

TimeframeDaily (1D)

Study periodQ2 2021 — Q1 2026 (20 quarters)

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Honest About Our Performance →

How Our Strategy Works →

Why Each Asset Gets Its Own ADX Threshold →

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Bitcoin MACD provides technical indicator signals, not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. MACD signals do not beat buy-and-hold for BTC on average. Always do your own research before making investment decisions. Bitcoin MACD is not liable for any financial losses resulting from the use of this service, nor for any failure or delay in delivering alerts or notifications.