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Bitcoin MACD provides technical indicator signals, not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. MACD signals do not beat buy-and-hold for BTC on average. Always do your own research before making investment decisions. Bitcoin MACD is not liable for any financial losses resulting from the use of this service, nor for any failure or delay in delivering alerts or notifications.

Data: Polygon.io · support@bitcoinmacd.com · © 2026 Bitcoin MACD

Historically Positive Alpha

Cardano MACD Signals

ADAUSD

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Five years of backtesting under our refined Rule B / ADX>30 setup shows +8.3% mean quarterly alpha. Beats hold in 75% of quarters — the strongest beat-hold rate of any tier-1 asset on the daily timeframe. The higher ADX gate defers entries until ADA's fast moves are confirmed, avoiding pre-trend whipsaws at lower thresholds.

5-Year Backtest Results

Mean quarterly alpha+8.3%
Beats buy-and-hold75%
Sharpe-like ratio0.29
Worst quarter-37.25% (Q1 2025)
ADX thresholdADX > 30
StrategyLong-only MACD(12,26,9) + ADX(14)
TimeframeDaily (1D)
Study periodQ2 2021 — Q1 2026 (20 quarters)

Learn More

Cardano: What Our Signals Do →
What Is Cardano? →
Why Each Asset Gets Its Own ADX Threshold →
Honest About Our Performance →
How Our Strategy Works →

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