Bearish Signal Detection

Ethereum

ETHUSD

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Like Bitcoin, ETH signals detect bearish momentum shifts — they beat hold in 55% of quarters but average slightly negative. ETH uses a higher ADX threshold (25 vs 20) because its trend signals need more confirmation to be reliable.

5-Year Backtest Results

Mean quarterly alpha-0.54%

Beats buy-and-hold55%

Sharpe-like ratio-0.04

Worst quarter-84.56% (Q3 2025)

ADX thresholdADX > 25

StrategyLong-only MACD(12,26,9) + ADX(14)

TimeframeDaily (1D)

Study periodQ2 2021 — Q1 2026 (20 quarters)

Learn More

Why Each Asset Gets Its Own ADX Threshold →

Why ADX Matters for Our Signals →

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Bitcoin MACD provides technical indicator signals, not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. MACD signals do not beat buy-and-hold for BTC on average. Always do your own research before making investment decisions. Bitcoin MACD is not liable for any financial losses resulting from the use of this service, nor for any failure or delay in delivering alerts or notifications.