Monday, May 11, 2026 
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Bitcoin MACD provides technical indicator signals, not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. MACD signals do not beat buy-and-hold for BTC on average. Always do your own research before making investment decisions. Bitcoin MACD is not liable for any financial losses resulting from the use of this service, nor for any failure or delay in delivering alerts or notifications.

Data: Polygon.io · support@bitcoinmacd.com · © 2026 Bitcoin MACD

Historically Positive Alpha

Cosmos MACD Signals

ATOMUSD

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Five years of 4h data shows +9.4% mean quarterly alpha and an 81% beat-hold rate — the highest of any asset we track. But context matters: ATOM lost -90% over that period, so beating hold mostly means avoiding losses. The strategy returned -19.4% total. At ADX>40, signals fire ~23 times per year. The tradeoff: missed sharp rallies like Q3 2021's +215% rebound entirely.

5-Year Backtest Results

Mean quarterly alpha+9.4%
Beats buy-and-hold81%
Sharpe-like ration/a
Worst quarter-215.2% (Q3 2021)
ADX thresholdADX > 40
StrategyLong-only MACD(12,26,9) + ADX(14)
TimeframeDaily (1D)
Study periodQ2 2021 — Q1 2026 (20 quarters)

Learn More

Cosmos: What Our Signals Do →
What Is Cosmos? →
Why Each Asset Gets Its Own ADX Threshold →
Honest About Our Performance →

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