Outperformance Signals

Chainlink

LINKUSD

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Break-even on mean alpha (+0.70%), but beats hold in 55% of quarters. Bearish signal detection with a slight edge. The worst quarter (-63.93% in Q4 2023) shows the tail risk is real — we don't hide it.

5-Year Backtest Results

Mean quarterly alpha+0.70%

Beats buy-and-hold55%

Sharpe-like ratio0.05

Worst quarter-63.93% (Q4 2023)

ADX thresholdADX > 20

StrategyLong-only MACD(12,26,9) + ADX(14)

TimeframeDaily (1D)

Study periodQ2 2021 — Q1 2026 (20 quarters)

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Bitcoin MACD provides technical indicator signals, not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. MACD signals do not beat buy-and-hold for BTC on average. Always do your own research before making investment decisions. Bitcoin MACD is not liable for any financial losses resulting from the use of this service, nor for any failure or delay in delivering alerts or notifications.