Outperformance Signals

XRP

XRPUSD

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Five years of daily data shows +5.8% mean quarterly alpha — second only to ADA. Beats hold in 64% of quarters. But that average is lumpy: two exceptional quarters (Q2 2021 at +98% alpha, Q4 2024 at +83%) drive a lot of the total. Remove those and the remaining 20 quarters still average positive, but barely. XRP's 4h bearish signal catches 96% of major crashes with the lowest false positive rate of any asset we track.

5-Year Backtest Results

Mean quarterly alpha+5.8%

Beats buy-and-hold64%

Sharpe-like ratio0.16

Worst quarter-61.4% (Q1 2023)

ADX thresholdADX > 20

StrategyLong-only MACD(12,26,9) + ADX(14)

TimeframeDaily (1D)

Study periodQ2 2021 — Q1 2026 (20 quarters)

Learn More

XRP: What Our Signals Do →

Why Each Asset Gets Its Own ADX Threshold →

Honest About Our Performance →

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Bitcoin MACD provides technical indicator signals, not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. MACD signals do not beat buy-and-hold for BTC on average. Always do your own research before making investment decisions. Bitcoin MACD is not liable for any financial losses resulting from the use of this service, nor for any failure or delay in delivering alerts or notifications.