Outperformance Signals

Ondo Finance

ONDOUSD

Loading chart…

Twenty-three months of data — not five years. Plain MACD with no ADX filter, because adding one hurts performance for this asset. +3.6% mean quarterly alpha with a profit factor of 1.11. Beats hold in 4 of 7 quarters. The +90.8% total alpha looks dramatic, but ONDO lost -66% in that period — the strategy mostly avoided the losses. At ~28 signals per year, expect more frequent alerts than BTC or ETH. This is a provisional recommendation that we'll re-evaluate with more history.

5-Year Backtest Results

Mean quarterly alpha+3.6%
Beats buy-and-hold57%
Sharpe-like ratio0.17
Worst quarter-22.7% (Q2 2024)
ADX thresholdADX > 0
StrategyLong-only MACD(12,26,9) + ADX(14)
TimeframeDaily (1D)
Study periodQ2 2021 — Q1 2026 (20 quarters)

Get Ondo Finance alerts

Pro subscription required. Real-time email alerts and notifications for BTC, ETH, ADA, LINK, SOL, XRP, TRX, DOGE, ATOM, HYPE, ONDO.

Bitcoin MACD provides technical indicator signals, not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. MACD signals do not beat buy-and-hold for BTC on average. Always do your own research before making investment decisions. Bitcoin MACD is not liable for any financial losses resulting from the use of this service, nor for any failure or delay in delivering alerts or notifications.