Historically Positive Alpha
ONDOUSD
Twenty-three months of data — not five years. Plain MACD with no ADX filter, because adding one hurts performance for this asset. +3.6% mean quarterly alpha with a profit factor of 1.11. Beats hold in 4 of 7 quarters. The +90.8% total alpha looks dramatic, but ONDO lost -66% in that period — the strategy mostly avoided the losses. At ~28 signals per year, expect more frequent alerts than BTC or ETH. This is a provisional recommendation that we'll re-evaluate with more history.
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