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Bitcoin MACD
Your weekly crypto brief
October 21 – October 28, 2026
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Quick Pulse
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• Past 7 days: BTC $80,800 (−2.6%) • ETH $2,347 (−4.1%) • SOL $101.21 (−4.9%)
• No new daily crosses. All three coins are still bearish, a month after crossing between September 28 and October 1.
• Top story: the Fed held rates on October 28, with two officials voting for a hike.
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The Signal
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BTC ended the week at $80,800, down 2.6%, after a short run to nearly $85,000 on October 21. ETH lost about 4% and SOL about 5%. None of the three crossed on the daily MACD, so all three are still in the bearish state they entered a month ago.
Last week we told you to watch BTC's gap. We watched it close most of the way, then open right back up.
On October 21 the MACD line came closer to its signal line than it had in two weeks. The next day, spot bitcoin ETFs had their biggest outflow since June and BTC gave back the move. By Saturday it had traded under $80,000 for the first time since mid-October.
BTC's MACD line also dropped below zero on October 23 and has stayed there. In plain terms, its 12-day average price is now under its 26-day average, so the short-term trend points down. ETH's line went below zero on October 11 and SOL's two days later.
We'd love to tell you what comes next. Our indicator only reads momentum that has already happened, and for a month that momentum has pointed down.
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What We're Watching
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ETH and SOL. Both MACD lines have run just under their signal lines all week, a thinner gap for their size than BTC's. Their ADX readings sit well above our thresholds, but right now that number is measuring how strong the downtrend is.
The Fed, too. It held rates at 3.75% to 4% on October 28, but two officials voted for a hike, and futures traders now put the odds of a December hike near 86%. BTC rose to about $81,000 after the decision, so markets mostly saw it coming.
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Worth Reading
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View your dashboard
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Sleep better. Hold smarter.
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Indicator activity only. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.
Bitcoin MACD • 1718 Capitol Avenue, Cheyenne, WY 82001
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