BTC, ETH, SOL stayed bullish through the chop. ETF flows snapped a $2.7B outflow streak.

Bitcoin MACD

Your weekly crypto brief

July 3 – July 10, 2026

A person sitting calmly on a park bench, phone in pocket, leaves blowing past, a small bird on the armrest

Quick Pulse

• Past 7 days: BTC $64,128 (+1.7%)  •  ETH $1,796 (+0.9%)  •  SOL $78.07 (−4.5%)

• No daily crossovers fired. BTC, ETH, and SOL all held the bullish MACD state they carried into the week.

• Top story: Bitcoin ETFs took in roughly $510M over three sessions, snapping a 10-day, $2.7B outflow streak.

The Signal

Last issue ended on a caution: a cross this shallow can fail. The market spent this week trying to prove it.

Trouble arrived Sunday. BTC twice slipped below $63K, and our 4-hour chart flipped four times in five days: bearish, bullish, bearish, bullish. If you were watching intraday, it looked like the recovery coming apart.

The daily state, the timeframe our strategy actually runs on, didn't move. BTC has held its bullish state since July 1, ETH since June 29, SOL since June 14. All three are still above the prices where they crossed.

BTC daily closes: bullish state held since Jul 1 at $59,961; 4-hour chart flipped four times Jul 5-9; Friday close $64,128

Flows steadied too. After ten straight days of outflows, $2.7B in all, spot Bitcoin ETFs took in about $510M across three sessions before a small outflow day ended the run. Against June's record bleed that's a rounding error.

Three green days after ten red ones counts as stabilization; a trend needs more evidence than that. A daily state that survived one shakeout makes no promise about the next. What we can say is narrower: the turn we flagged last week got tested, and it held.

What We're Watching

SOL's cushion. It fell 4.5% this week, and the gap between its MACD line and signal line is now the thinnest of the three majors. Another red week and it would likely be the first to cross back down. That's geometry, not a forecast.

ETF follow-through. Last issue we called the first inflow day "a turn or a blip." Three more positive sessions lean toward turn, but a $5.4B year-to-date hole doesn't close in a week.

Worth Reading

Bitcoin ETFs see $221 million inflow, finally ending a painful 10-day selling streak

CoinDesk — The day the streak broke: Fidelity's fund led the buying while BlackRock's IBIT was still shedding.

Vanguard, a $12 trillion asset manager, is hiring its first crypto exec

The Block — The firm that refused to list spot Bitcoin ETFs is now recruiting a head of digital assets to write its multi-year roadmap.

Bitcoin rally hinges on whether the Fed buys into the weak jobs report

CryptoSlate — June payrolls came in at 57K against 110K expected, but steady unemployment and 3.5% wage growth give the Fed room to sit still.

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Indicator activity only. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.

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