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The majors broke down. BTC fell 15.7% to $61,900, ETH gave up 20.6% to $1,600, and SOL dropped 21.3% to $64.50. The kind of week where every chart you open is red.
Here's the honest read: this isn't a week the system stayed silent on. It's a week the system had already turned. Going into Monday, all three priority coins were already in bearish daily MACD state.
BTC's daily MACD crossed bearish on May 12 at $80,500. SOL's crossed bearish on May 16 at $86.50. ETH's never crossed back to bullish at all — it's been bearish on the daily across the whole window.
What this week added was the catalyst. Treasury yields pushed above 4.5%, rate-cut odds collapsed, and risk-off in equities pulled crypto along as capital rotated into AI stocks. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs ran an 11-day outflow streak totaling $3.45B — the longest on record — and $1.5B in long liquidations cleared out in 24 hours.
Sentiment took an extra hit when Michael Saylor's Strategy sold 32 BTC for $2.5M to fund a dividend — its first disclosed sale since 2022. Tiny as supply. Loud as a break from the "never sell" line.
BTC has fallen from $80,500 to $61,900 since its May 12 cross (−23%). SOL from $86.50 to $64.50 since its May 16 cross (−25%). The indicator didn't predict the crash — it read the momentum shift that came before it.
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